Elon Musk must be super lucky --> .00006^3 = 2.16e-13 (although this calculation assumes the chances are completely independent, which studies have show, they are not)
Right, that's just a prior. His probability is much higher given that he had two prior exits, is incredibly intelligent, his network is vast and resourceful, etc.
Very much off-topic, but he's an anomaly in many ways...eg, I was incredibly amazed to learn that he and his former wife had twins and triplets. Wonder what the chances of that are. :)
