Iran can fire drones from the interior that they store in underground caves until minutes before they fire them. Fires and short raids won’t accomplish shit.

“No one thought Iran would be able to close the straight” -Trump

Average quality of life for a society almost never goes down long term because when it does the government gets violently overthrown.

Pirates use cloudflare because it solves their biggest problem, DOS attacks. Rights owners figured out that they can shut down these sites by DDOSing them which bypasses the courts and can be done instantly, so the pirates put their sites behind cloudflare ddos protection.

Journalists job is to get clicks on their article.

The toll is not going to happen. Iran has plenty of demands regarding the ceasefire and will get almost none of them.

No it doesnt. The model card talked about increasing likelihood, not certainty.

If "x doesn't tell us y" is compatible with "x increases the likelihood of y but not to a point of certainty" then you would have to agree for just about any typical controlled trial or experimental finding "x doesn't tell us y". "Randomized controlled trials that find that SSRIs treat depression don't tell us that SSRIs effectively treat depression"

Humans have political power because of our ability to enact violence, same as it ever was. Until the military is fully automated and theres a terminator on every corner that remains true. Even then there are more than enough armed americans to enact a guerilla campaign.

> "don't tax us 95% of our profits, tax us 10% or we'll switch off all of our services for a few months and let everyone starve – also, if you do this we'll make you all wealthy beyond you're wildest dreams".

What does a government in this situation actually do?

Nationalizes the company under the threat of violence.

> Once the government is generating the vast majority of wealth in the society, why would they continue to care about your vote?

Because of the 100 million gun owners in this country? I find it incredibly hard to believe people as a whole will lose political power because of their incredible ability to enact violence in the face of decreasing quality of life.

Well they said theyll be giving the model to select tech companies to use, there soon will be independent users who can comment on its capabilities.

No chance an openAI spokesperson doesnt know what existential safety is

I did not read the response as...

>Please provide the definition of Existential Safety.

I read:

>Are you mentally stable? Our product would never hurt humanity--how could any language model?

The absolute gall of this guy to laugh off a question about x-risks. Meanwhile, also Sam Altman, in 2015: "Development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity. There are other threats that I think are more certain to happen (for example, an engineered virus with a long incubation period and a high mortality rate) but are unlikely to destroy every human in the universe in the way that SMI could. Also, most of these other big threats are already widely feared." [1]

[1] https://blog.samaltman.com/machine-intelligence-part-1