To add, I don’t think my ancestor Spaniards for example needed the help of machines to deplete mines in America. They also came already equipped with all kinds of legal systems, including the Requerimiento, which they read out loud to natives in preposterous spectacle.
In general the transition from feudalism to capitalism, including the formation of the legal systems that supported the latter, happened gradually for maybe up to four or five centuries before the steam engine had been invented.
Sure, the Industrial Revolution further accelerated the development of property rights, mercantile, and civil laws, but all in all I don’t think there’s much truth that machines were the primary cause of such developments.
Distributing an app to 100 users inside an enterprise is already a hellish nightmare and I'm pretty convinced that citizen developers will never be a thing - we'll sooner reach the singularity.
I think that citizen developers will be a thing--but not in the way you might be thinking.
More people will be enabled (and empowered) to "build" quick-and-dirty solutions to personal problems by just talking to their phone: "I need way to track my food by telling you what I ate and then you telling me how much I have left for today. And suggest what my next meal should be."
In the current paradigm--which is rapidly disappearing--that requires a UI app that makes you type things in, select from a list, open the app to see what your totals are, etc. And it's a paid subscription. In 6 months, that type of app can be ancient history. No more subscription.
So it's not about "writing apps for SaaS subscribers." It's about not needing to subscribe to apps at all. That's the disruption that's taking place.
Crappy code, maintenance, support, etc.--no longer even a factor. If the user doesn't like performance, they just say "fix ___" and it's fixed.
What subscription apps can't be replaced in this disruption? Tell me what you think.
Almost everything requires a UI. There's just nothing faster than quick glances and taps. It's why voice assistants or hand-waving gesture controls never took over. Having an agent code all those - possibly very complex things - is just impossible without AGI. How would it even work?
- Would the agent go through current app user flows OpenClaw style? Wildly insecure, error-prone, expensive.
- Tapping in to some sort of third party APIs/MCPs. authed, metered, documented how and by which standard to be not abused and hacked?
The unhyped truth is that LLMs are just wildly more competent autocomplete, and there is no such disruption in sight. The status quo of developers and users mostly remains.
Today I asked ChatGPT to make me a weekly calorie plan and it was perfect. But then I still use MyFitnessPal to log my calories because their food database is outstanding, and the UX of scanning food barcodes is unbeatable. They have the most niche items in my country, Spain.
How are LLMs going any of that? An app is often much more than a CRUD interface.
Maybe I could build a custom app that scans the nutrition facts table and with voice I could explain how much I ate or something - I’m technical, but really, I have better things to do and I’d rather pay MFP 10 bucks a month.
Both would make a great foundation for this sort of app. OFF is crowdsourced and does include barcode information. I have no idea how robust the dataset is for your geography though. If I were to build something like this for personal use, I'd be looking at a PWA that can leverage the camera for barcode scanning. I'd work with the existing crowd sourced database as well as provide a mechanism for "manual" entry which should just be scanning a barcode and taking a picture of the nutrition information. I've personally built systems like this before and all of these things are well within the capability of most SOTA LLM to build out.
I am not going to even try until it becomes a literal weekend project with zero maintenance and perfect reliability. Maintenance is crucial - I would not want to become the maintainer of two dozen apps that are genuinely useful to me. At 10€ a month the economics are not there. Even researching if the codebar database has perfect coverage in Spain like MFP sounds like more time than I would like to invest. I have a thousand other projects I’d like to build.
I've subscribed today to use Claude Cowork. Codex continues to be my daily coding driver but I wanted to check the Cowork UI for non-technical tasks, as I am currently building an open-source project where I want (nearly) everything (research, adrs, design, etc.) to be a file.
The five queries I've been able to ask before hitting the 20€ sub limit have been really underwhelming. The research I asked for was not exhaustive and often off-topic.
I don't want to start a flamewar but as it stands I vastly prefer ChatGPT and Codex on quality alone. I really want Anthropic and as many labs as possible to do well though.
I also have both and also use Codex as my daily drive. I still vastly prefer it to CC both for the quality of the code it writes and much better limits, but in this last week, I feel like it's gotten much dumber as well. I normally bounce back and forth between 5.3 Codex high and 5.4 high depending on the task and I've started finding so many mistakes in 5.3 Codex's code which is a major change from even just a few weeks ago. 5.4 high still gets the job done, but even there, I feel like it's taking more steering and input on my part for even simple tasks.
My impression is that Codex is vastly superior, but perhaps it's a matter of specific expertise on technologies used. It's also the case that for C/C++ some Chinese models do well enough that with my supervision I can have them get the work done.
I don't give them large tasks that i wouldn't be able to work on myself, so that's maybe part of it.
Out of your other three comments in the your entire account’s history, two of them are pretty structurally identical: quote hook + tangentially related question.
What is the ultimate play for all these AI accounts? Warming them up for future astroturfing and marketing? Manipulating upvotes?
A lot of extensions on LinkedIn are necessary because of their total lack of innovation. You really cannot do anything in B2B sales or recruiting with only LinkedIn tools. These are not random extensions, but crucial extensions literally saving billions of dollars in wasted time or creating massive opportunities in the global economy.
I’ve had the idea of playing with our laws and trying to ask questions about their growing volume and complexity. This is timely and dope Enrique - mil gracias!
I've considered it as a Spanish resident, but don't you have to live six months there to be considered a fiscal resident? Are people regularly operating them from outside Estonia?
(Not a tax professional so don't take my word for it) But I think you're talking about individual fiscal residency. A company you create can technically not be resident where you live so long as you can demonstrate that the principal activities of the company do not take place where you live. So with Spain, if a decent percent of your customers are Spanish and you're the only member of the company, then Spain would have reasonable recourse to consider the company Spanish and require you to register it there and pay Spanish corporate taxes. However, if you have say, 6 employees all over the world, your customers are not substantially Spanish etc then they have a lot harder job proving that the fiscal residency of the company is Spanish. In any case, there is always an outside chance that they could investigate you which is enough of a pain on its own, so may not be worth it!
The "e" in eResidency does a lot of work. The scheme will not give you any residency rights or obligations in the physical sense. Just forming and running a company in the EU, including tax and banking systems that are aware of your non-resident status and making running a company easier.
As others have said, it mostly makes sense for people outside of the EU. If you have personal residency in Spain then it is questionable whether the easier paperwork in Estonia will offset the need to do some paperwork in Spain as well.
In general the transition from feudalism to capitalism, including the formation of the legal systems that supported the latter, happened gradually for maybe up to four or five centuries before the steam engine had been invented.
Sure, the Industrial Revolution further accelerated the development of property rights, mercantile, and civil laws, but all in all I don’t think there’s much truth that machines were the primary cause of such developments.
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