Do you recall what podcast? I know hearing him say this was intentional is only gonna make me frustrated, but I’m dying to hear the justification for such a bad decision.
Election polls were only ever off a couple percentage points. US elections are hard to predict because they are so close. And because of the electoral system. So missing by a bit can mean making a wildly wrong prediction.
This does not apply to opinion questions that show huge differences (not single digit percentage point differences), though there validity, not reliability is a bigger concern, especially since there exists no voting benchmark you can measure against.
Still: I think it’s awfully convenient to just wholly discount actual empirical evidence whenever you feel like it because it might not be perfect. Why exactly do you think your gut feeling is better?
I had Xfinity for 4 years and my IP changed once in that time! Now I have fiber from centurylink, and it changes anytime I need to reboot the fiber modem or my firewall. Different companies, same metro area though. That too makes me wonder about how both manage their allocations give the difference in IP assignments.
This is great. I’m working on something similar for tracking college football games from the terminal. Right now it just shows a List of active games with minimal navigation. lots of great inspiration.
It’s also common within Microsoft. I can’t speak to when/why they decide to do it, but the leads for the Microsoft Gaming (Phill Spencer) and LinkedIn [acquired 2016] (Ryan Roslansky) are both CEOs in the org chart at Microsoft.
This came up in my recommendations yesterday and I ended up losing a few hours to videos on this channel!
The one thing I didn’t understand was why at ~14:00 they’re gluing the CMOS battery down!? That battery will certainly last less than the useful life of the PC. Seems like a surprising choice.
I’ve adored Jon’s writing for years, so a book is exciting! But it does bum me out a little bit that it will be “just” a book. Compared to the dynamic and multimedia formats of “Tim Tebow in the CFL” and “Football 17776”. The writing is excellent, but the dynamic and multimedia nature of his previous work will be missed. Can’t wait to get my hands on it!
I think you have this backwards. OP is saying sleep apnea is common, but we’ve only had CPAP machines to compensate for it, since the 80s. I don’t see them trying to implicate CPAP as the cause of an increase in dementia.
I think bhouston is arguing (correctly) you can’t have a 10% of the population drop in dementia prevalence by an intervention that only targets 3% of the population, so even if CPAPs contribute, that does not explain most of the drop.
(If everybody who uses CPAPs would get dementia, and they are 100% effective at preventing that, the drop would still be ‘only’ 3% of the population)
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