I have been taking Rapamycin for 19 weeks and NR and Metformin (for anti-aging) for much longer and I can't see any difference. I'm 50+. I generally, however, feel excellent, as well as I remember when I was younger so long as I have gotten lots of sleep and don't have a cold. When I'm sick or tired I feel much worse than I did, however.
Hanson doesn't think (2) and (3) follow because of the possibility of panspermia. It's possible that our galaxy is the only one in a billion light years that has given rise to life, but there could, because of panspermia, skill be a high probability that a planet in our galaxy outside our solar system has life. See this podcast Hanson did with me: https://soundcloud.com/user-519115521
It’s pretty well documented that intelligence agencies new about the novel coronavirus very early on, and we know the vaccines were completed very rapidly after the genomic information was published — so this argument is sort of off. The US appears to have had reasons for not rushing to vaccinate its military. China, by contrast, made the decision to vaccinate their troops a lot earlier.
In other words the military clearly does have early eyes on all sorts of situations - and their action or inaction on that info is a separate consideration.
Cryonics (I'm signed up with Alcor) can reduce the measure of you being tortured. Assume a multiverse where some versions of you are going to be tortured for a long time. If you sign up for cryonics, if you get brought back most likely you won't get tortured and so this might reduce the percent of you across the multiverse that is not being tortured.
Let's say that across the multiverse all versions of you are going to collectively live for 1 billion years. Unfortunately, some versions of you will be tortured and let's assume that collectively you will be tortured for 10,000 years meaning that the measure your torture is 10,000 / 1 billion. But if you sign up for cryonics you most likely only get brought back in a world that has cured death and isn't evil. If many versions of you do sign up for cryonics say you live collectively for 2 billion years and are only tortured for 11,000 of these years so the measure of you being tortured is 11,000/ 2 billion.
Ah, it was the “probably a non-torturous society will bring you back, since they are more likely to be altruistic” assumption that I was missing. Of course, it only takes one entity to bring you back for an eternity of torture to ruin this logic, as is the case in IHNMAIMS.
Infinity makes decision making really weird since infinity + 1 is the same as infinity so if you are going to be tortured for infinity years it wouldn't be irrational to volunteer to be tortured for an extra year.