I thought Grok is dead - its GPUs were handed over to Anthropic, no?

This is what the article is about.

> Downloads of Grok fell to about 8.3 million in April, from a high of more than 20 million in January, according to analysis firm AppMagic.

They have a ton of spare capacity, hence they are letting anthropic use it.

From what I understand they have... or will have... 2 data centers, the original one ("Colossus 1", the one that is already poisoning Memphis, TN) is the one Anthropic will be using, but they are also building a new one, Colossus 2 for Grok's own use.

All that said, I wasn't aware Grok really had any ground to lose, the only time I ever heard about it is twitter memes and when its getting in trouble for claiming itself "Mecha Hitler" or serving sexualized content.

I’d look at software projects in automotive industry. Someone has to write software modern cars run, you can become that someone with enough focus and determination.

The only big remaining problem in AI is continual learning. A lot of smart people are working on that. To me it looks like we are 1-2 breakthroughs away from AGI.

Unless AI will allow people not work and keep their quality of life. Could be possible with total automation of everything.

Could also be possible today, but we chose a capitalistic system that leads to an increasing wealth gap. And now we're in a situation where the richest 1% own 50% of the wealth.

So, if we increase automation and the ownership structures stay the same, this inequality will get worse, not better.

It’s interesting, people talk about inequality and I definitely feel it myself – I see so many rich people around me. But I am in that 1%, just like many on this forum. At least according to https://dqydj.com/average-median-top-individual-income-perce... yet I still have to work for a living.

You might be in the 1% gloablly, but probably not in the country you are living in?

I'm 1% in US.

Too 1% income don't put you in the 1% richest as lots of people are rich because of inheritance, not income.

its reasonably well known that people thrive when they have a sense of purpose.

having your needs met without needing to do anything leads to disaster for mental health

This is my biggest concern. In the more distant future, I think people will lose themselves in VR worlds.

How will this ever be possible? Do you think it will ever be able to keep up with generations of people not working?

The cost will exponentially increase over time and the systen will eventually collapse.

You also won't be able to keep your 'quality of life', unless government housing and rationing is your quality.

I feel like the foolishness of communism isn't taught enough in schools and every generation has to dress it up with new technology.

> The cost will exponentially increase over time and the systen will eventually collapse.

From what I'm seeing in the numbers, the big problem of the coming century is population collapse. Maybe I'm just too much of a believer in the intermediate value theorem, but I'm sure there has to be a way to arrive at a society with a sustainable usage of resources.

Nope. If everything is totally automated, if ever, the gap between the rich and the poor will widen even more. Most people will live in misery while only a handful of people enjoy all the automation.

From TFA:

“ChatGPT came up with an idea which is original and clever. It is the sort of idea I would be very proud to come up with after a week or two of pondering, and it took ChatGPT less than an hour to find and prove”

You misunderstand. I'm not saying that Reasoning/Agentic systems aren't better.

I'm saying they're not an advancement in the tech in the way GPT 1 through 3 were. They're a different kind of improvement.

And as such the rate improvement cannot just be extrapolated into the future.

GPT1 through GPT3 advancement were exactly like using more Ethernet cables in parallel.

All interesting conceptual breakthroughs came after GPT3: RL and reasoning being the main ones.

Good music does not need to be complex

Complexity in music is a very ambiguous "measure". Look at e.g. Brubeck's "Take five", which many consider "complex" because of the unusual time signature; but it's actually a pretty simple piece. On the other hand, look at "minimal music" such as e.g. Steve Reich's "Music for 18 musicians"; it's based on just a few simple rules, but the resul is far from simple. When even the topic of a study is ambiguous, what can we expect from the results.

I’ve been using llm as my personal pcp for 3 years now. I’m extremely pleased with the results.

next year bro, I promise, now give me 60 billion more in funding

I fully expect to buy one within the next three years. Probably Optimus 4, depending on the price.

2-3 years. Probably Optimus 4 will be able to do that, but probably not very well - kind of like tesla fsd drives currently.