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I don't understand what you're contrasting with. The evidence is that passive investing works over a lifetime. It may not perform well over a particular decade. The strategy is simply buy and hold. Somewhat better is to buy small amounts periodically, to average the cost. Don't sell.

This may change in the future, of course, but that's not really actionable knowledge.



Okay, great, so link me to some of this non anecdotal evidence please :)

What are best numerical values for lifetime, how slowly can you withdraw money when you retire, what are the best lengths of retirement etc. I want to see which passive investment strategies work. We can all think of examples where someone buys indexes over time, and then chooses to retire in the wrong decade. I want to know how many good and bad outcomes there are over our known historical data, and see what percentage of the time passive investing works. How much better fo some passive investors do versus others, how much luck is involved? If you must compare to say buying and holding a commodity like gold. But really I'm just interested in how varryingly successful passive investing strategies can be. I was hoping for code, just because I wanted millions of examples, not just a couple success and dud stories.


> link me to some ... evidence

Google will help you better than I. Search for Boggleheads, passive index investing, etc. There's a nice book titled, "A Random Walk Down Wall Street."




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