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For every one person learning to program, ten people are "learning to program". I would say that we're going to have a huge problem where most applicants aren't qualified for a given job, but I don't have to - we're already there.

Still, BOTH numbers are trending up, so I guess at least that part is nice.



If we can make software development less of a specific job and more of a companion skill of most jobs, maybe people will start and develop systems for their fellow non-technical co-workers.


We're going the opposite direction though, for good reasons. Have you ever experienced the result of business processes dependent on "hobbyist" systems developed by in-house dabblers? It's not good, and always needs to be cleaned up later.

But it was actually a popular thing in the earlier days of computing, and still happens sometimes.

One of the most likely places for it to currently happen is actually crazily complex Excel "macros" -- basically software apps written in Excel. So on the other hand to my original point, actually maybe those aren't always disastrous (yet?), there are a surprising number of them around powering all sorts of businesses, and their internals would seem horrifying to a software engineer, but they are working...




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