This reminds of myself. I find it helps to preface my grand theories with "of course, I've never done X / Y / Z." I generally find that my grand scheme overlooked some important rule or risk constraint, or that I'm hyper-focused on an edge case, or some such thing. I learn a lot from both forming strong opinions and figuring out why they're wrong.

Every now and then I can't find out why I'm wrong. I'm trying to learn how to make better use of those cases . . . .