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Of course people changed their behavior because of Covid models, that's the fucking point. The modelling wasn't wrong it was just predicting what would happen if people didn't follow any precautions, in order to work what precautions were necessary.


The models are incomplete.

This is the same reason as to why Econophysics, despite all its promise and grandeur, has yet to yield any useful results.

Interdependent human beings are a lot more complex entities than particles or flows.


Our emergent behaviour comes from emergent behaviour of particles, because we are them. It’s just harder to predict a few levels of emergence up.




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