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(Number of people into bitcoin) x (average amount of portfolio they stick in bitcoin) = bitcoin price / number of bitcoins.

In practice the bottom will probably be about $10k as people will start thinking that used to be $65k, maybe it'll go back, and buy some.

It's all human psychology but so is the value of a lot of things.



Price is defined by the most recent trade, nothing else. It doesn't matter how much money is in crypto accounts.

When you buy crypto with USD that's a one time transaction that has no bearing on future price.

E.g. the ARKK etf has had massive net dollar inflows YTD despite falling over 50% in the same timeframe


Something is wrong with the equation. The right hand side of the equation is:

> bitcoin price / number of bitcoins

$23,304 / 19,066,500 BTC = $0.001 /BTC

If there is one human into bitcoin, then they invested $0.001 ? If there are more people into bitcoin then they invested even less on average?

It doesn't make any sense.


This is text based Technical Analysis, which is possibly the only thing that has less predictive power than actual TA




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