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> then the best employees will leave ASAP and the worst will stick around until the layoff date.

I see this tossed around and I question it. The people that will leave are the people with who have good intuition about what is going to go down. In other words, the people who are best able to see through corporate politics.

It's not a given that the "best performers" or "top engineers" have a good eye for "corporate political BS". It's not a given they'll see what is going down and run for the exits. Being a "top performer" in some subject matter they are paid for doesn't imply they are "top performers" in playing the game.

It is just as likely that "the dead wood" have an "A game" with corporate politics and they run for the door instead.

I know plenty of extremely good engineers who would not run for the doors in such a situation.



Do you have any advise on how to get that intuition?

I can see mess of certain companies and their bullshit but I was wrong thinking that they would collapse as they still are limping and alive. Granted it is during good times and have to wait to see during such bad times.


I agree, companies are more worried about it than they need to be, but they see it as a risk they don't need to entertain.

Most people continue doing what they were doing the day before unless pushed.




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