"So what makes anybody think that Amazon will do better than Apple?"
I don't know if they'll do better than apple, but the Fire is half the price of an iPad and is being heavily promoted to Amazon's enormous user base in the run up to Christmas.
I have no doubt the Kindle Fire will be a success, but we are talking here about Amazon overtaking the Android's app distribution, as if Amazon could do that by any stretch of imagination.
So what makes anybody think that Amazon will do better than Apple?
This is relevant, because for Amazon to take charge, either one of these 2 things have to happen: (1) Amazon should be so successful as to make irrelevant the other Android device makers OR (2) Amazon should make the device makers use their own Appstore
I'm not seeing (2) happening and as far as (1) is concerned, what can Amazon do that Apple couldn't? If price is the only issue, that didn't stop expensive Galaxy S phones from being sold, in spite of iTunes and in spite of a general consensus that iPhones are better.
I don't know if they'll do better than apple, but the Fire is half the price of an iPad and is being heavily promoted to Amazon's enormous user base in the run up to Christmas.