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Exactly. 10 years is way past the Technological Event Horizon, which is about 2 years.

Which means that unlike, for example, memristors, lithium air batteries most likely won't happen, and if they do happen, their happening will be a consequence of other research.

(Which is an argument why most research should be fundamental and open-ended, i.e. not directed towards specific outcomes.)



If you follow Intel's R&D they have consistently gotten projects from 10-15 years out to come online on time.


The lord will return any day now! Pray with me brother!




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