"human brains could follow" feels like a few jumps ahead? a fruit fly has on the order of 100k neurons, a human brain has on the order of 100 billion neurons. that's 6 orders of magnitude larger. that's like saying "A map of San Francisco has been completed, the entire solar system could follow!"
The method used required 3 million manual human corrections. Even if Moore's Law actually still meant anything for compute power, this is still many orders of magnitude from scaling to a human brain.
Depends which of the many similar but subtly different things with that name was meant.
In this context, what matters is "how many operations can I get done for a dollar?", and that's still very much improving very fast, albeit not quite as fast as before.
The original formulation was "The complexity for minimum component costs has increased at a rate of roughly a factor of two per year", which stopped being true almost immediately and very soon got mixed up with "performance doubles every 18 months".
Dennard scaling is long dead, as is the clock frequency race; but features are still slowly getting smaller (your own link says so), as is energy consumption per operation. The latter, J/op, is the critical issue for big data centres. Brains are obviously better than transistors at this, and IIRC by that measure transistors are still getting roughly twice as good every 2.6 years.
> but features are still slowly getting smaller (your own link says so)
From the link: "Although miniaturization is still happening, the Moore’s Law standard of doubling the components on a semiconductor chip every two years has been broken"
I'm not saying things aren't getting smaller. I'm saying moores law is broken.
Given that for a map, it is the sqkm which matters, 6 orders of magnitude from the map of San Francisco is a jump from 121 sqkm to 121 000 000 sqkm ... which is not even all dry land on Earth, much less in the Solar System.
Surely a daunting task, but depending on the tools used to create the smaller map, possibly a realistic one. Maybe with a bit of a less precision.
