These ways of finding patterns, are always interesting, but also usually flawed by like all of the things left out.
"This juncture (civil war) is the best one to drive home the point about why political passions run so high at these historic moments: They mark fundamental system changes, and the stakes are extremely high, particularly for those on the side of the system that has to die."
We're there political passions in the 1945's? Seems like there we're greater political passions and divisions in the 1960's an 1970's, halfway through his theory.
There seems to be this idea that what, maybe AI is the next technological explosion 80 years after the end of ww2, but I'd argue we just got out of a technological explosion of the computer age/the internet.
My flawed cycles theory is: I'd cut all these theories in half. I sort of theorize maybe a 40 year cycle. bottom-up civil rights action, (20's,60's). Top-down backlash and economic instability (30's70's) economic deregulation and push (40's? , 80's) and then optimisim (50's/90's).
In this model, I think we're headed into the 70's (backlash and economic instability)
https://www.amazon.com/Fourth-Turning-Here-Seasons-History-e...
These ways of finding patterns, are always interesting, but also usually flawed by like all of the things left out.
"This juncture (civil war) is the best one to drive home the point about why political passions run so high at these historic moments: They mark fundamental system changes, and the stakes are extremely high, particularly for those on the side of the system that has to die."
We're there political passions in the 1945's? Seems like there we're greater political passions and divisions in the 1960's an 1970's, halfway through his theory.
There seems to be this idea that what, maybe AI is the next technological explosion 80 years after the end of ww2, but I'd argue we just got out of a technological explosion of the computer age/the internet.
My flawed cycles theory is: I'd cut all these theories in half. I sort of theorize maybe a 40 year cycle. bottom-up civil rights action, (20's,60's). Top-down backlash and economic instability (30's70's) economic deregulation and push (40's? , 80's) and then optimisim (50's/90's).
In this model, I think we're headed into the 70's (backlash and economic instability)